Tax News
The UK continues to struggle with low productivity growth, a long-running challenge that shows little sign of improvement. In the three months to June 2025, output per hour worked was around 1.5% above its pre-pandemic level, but it actually fell by almost 1% compared with the same period a year earlier. The previous quarter had seen only a marginal rise and overall, the trend is one of stagnation rather than sustained growth.
Although the figures appear slightly better than before the pandemic, they underline a deeper problem. Productivity growth has been flat for much of the past fifteen years, averaging only around 0.5% per year since the financial crisis, compared with about 2% annually in the decades before 2008. This persistent weakness limits the economy’s ability to generate higher living standards, boost wages and support stronger public finances.
What lies behind the figures
Several factors contribute to the poor results. A shift in activity towards lower-productivity industries has diluted national performance, as sectors such as retail, hospitality and parts of the public sector expanded while more productive sectors grew more slowly. The public sector itself has seen a notable rise in hours worked, particularly in health and social care, without a matching increase in measured output.
Regional disparities also continue to weigh on national averages. London and the South East maintain far higher productivity levels than many other parts of the country, particularly regions with weaker transport links and lower investment. Capital investment remains subdued overall, and many businesses have been slow to adopt new technology or digital systems that could raise efficiency.
The bigger picture
For all the political focus on growth, the UK remains trapped in what economists often call a productivity puzzle. The country is producing more than before the pandemic, but only slightly and progress is fragile. Without stronger investment, skills development and incentives to innovate, productivity gains are likely to remain modest, constraining both wage growth and the government’s ability to fund improvements in public services.
